Was Moores Law Inevitable?

by Larry Emmott on October 24, 2010

in General

Was Moore’s law inevitable? Is it a self fulfilling prophecy? Is it dependent on economics or science or technology? This very interesting essay examines all of these issues and looks at other technologies that are changing in similar ways. Not a lot of direct dental related information but very interesting for the nerdish.

It told them something preposterous. They could not believe their eyes. The curve said they could have machines that attained orbital speed… within four years. And they could get their payload right out of Earths immediate gravity well just a little later. They could have satellites almost at once, the curve insinuated, and if they wished — if they wanted to spend the money, and do the research and the engineering — they could go to the Moon quite soon after that.

It is important to remember that in 1953 none of the technology for these futuristic journeys existed. No one knew how to do go that fast and survive. Even the most optimistic die-hard visionaries did not expect a lunar landing any sooner than the proverbial “Year 2000.” The only voice telling them they could do it was a curve on a piece of paper.

via The Technium: Was Moores Law Inevitable?.

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